Recently, I have more time to walk around and seek for others' opinions regarding their view on "whether recession was end?".
After fooling around, I'm proud to make a conclusion: "50% YES, 50% NO"
(Real conclusion: NO conclusion at all).
Haiz...
After fooling around, I'm proud to make a conclusion: "50% YES, 50% NO"
(Real conclusion: NO conclusion at all).
Haiz...
Then, I'm frustrated and came out with my own conclusion. However, my conclusion depends on the following 5 indicators:
- An improvement in the Unemployment Rate
- 1st Sign – Corporate silence, which means no more job-cut announcement
- 2nd Sign – Companies might start hiring again (slowly) - More stable home prices
- Housing prices had fallen for 2 years now, 20% worldwide
- Once prices stabilize, buyers will stop worrying and bargain-hunting activities will pick-up slowly again - Consumer confidence rebound
- When corporate silence, housing and stock market will turn around
- People feel more secure about their jobs and income, and will start to spend/consume again
. - A less volatile stock market
- When corporate news came out, stock market did not react crazily
- Less sensitivity in stock market means all the news had actually factored-in the pricing of companies - Economic growth turns positive
- In order for a sustainable recovery, a country’s economy must be positive (+ve GDP growth)
- Of course, it all starts with an improved companies’ earnings
Agree or Not? This is my answer to the above question.
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